TY JOUR TI STRATEGIC PLANNING OF DEVELOPMENT AND ENSURING NATIONAL SECURITY OF RUSSIA: FORECASTING AND DECREASE IN RISK OF EMERGENCY SITUATIONS KW aggression KW safety KW expenses KW modeling KW optimization KW criterion KW indicator KW resources KW risk KW damage JO National Security and Strategic Planning AU BELOV, P.G. PY 2015 IS 2015 PB Strategy of the Future